Your long-distance running performances generally peak when you are
somewhere between the early 20s and the mid-30s. After that, there is an
inevitable decline in performance that starts well before middle age and
continues throughout the rest of life. That’s the bad news.
The good news is that one of the beneficial consequences of a lifelong
commitment to running is that over the years you’ll experience a slower
rate of decline with age in the physiological functions related to performance
than do your sedentary friends or those who train minimally. There appears
to be wisdom in the saying “Use it or lose it.” Just how much can you expect
performance to decline over the years? What causes this decline? Is the
decline the same for men and women?
Confounding Factors
Before detailing some of the changes that occur in performance as we age,
let’s briefly consider several factors that complicate the issue. The primary
problem is that it is difficult to separate the effects on performance
that are directly attributable to aging from those that are due to disease,
disuse, or other factors. It is also difficult to identify how evolving
social environments and scientific advances in training and equipment may
have affected performance times across ages.
Bortz and Bortz (1996) propose that changes in athletic performance
records with age may be a possible biomarker of aging, that is, a way of
identifying changes due to the aging process, independent of the influences
of disease or reduced activity. For example, an individual capable of setting
a world record is in an elite group that is highly motivated, highly trained,
and probably influenced minimally by factors other than aging. However,
even using performance records as a method for isolating changes due to
aging does not eliminate potentially confounding factors. World records
have continued to improve over the decades, the result of advanced training
methods, increased competitive opportunities, and improved equipment and
facilities, and these factors may affect age-related records in inconsistent
ways.
Another problem is that most of the data available is from a cross-section
of the running population and not from longitudinal changes in individuals
over time. Cross-sectional data may not be fully representative of how
an individual’s performance will change.
It is also not possible to identify directly how injuries may influence
decrements in performance with age. Koplan et al. (1995) surveyed more
than 500 finishers of a 10K road race 10 years after the race and found
that 56 percent of the entrants were still running, and 81 percent were
still exercising regularly. Fifty-three percent reported at least one injury
during the 10-year period, and 30 percent had had at least one injury requiring
medical care. Of those who stopped running, 31 percent of the men and 17
percent of the women cited injury as the primary reason. It is likely that
some amount of the decrease in performance with age is the result of injury,
but data is not available to document the exact nature of any effect.
The possible confounding influence on performance data of the factors
just mentioned suggests that we should consider with some caution the conclusions
that follow, especially when generalizing the results to individual runners.
Changes in Performance with Age
As a general rule, distance-running performance times increase with age,
and the rate of decline becomes greater somewhere in the age range of 55
to 65. Substantial individual variations exist in the rate of decline.
Figures 1 and 2 illustrate the change in performance with age, showing
the pattern of change in running times for the top male and top female
finishers at each age in the 1997 Boston Marathon.
The curving gray lines are based on best-fit equations for the data,
and the two straight, colored lines in each figure can approximate the
pattern of change. Between ages 30 and 55, the change averaged 1.3 minutes
per year (0.9 percent) for men, with an average decline in performance
of 3.7 minutes per year (1.8 percent) between ages 55 and 75. For women,
the performance time changes with age were slightly greater, averaging
2.7 minutes per year between ages 30 and 55 (1.5 percent) and 7.6 minutes
per year between 55 and 64 (3.4 percent).
The number of women in the 55 to 64 age bracket was relatively small,
and the changes cited here may not be representative of what would be found
in a larger sample. The pattern of change with age is similar for this
data to that found in most research studies, though the exact rate of change
varies.
These marathon results are somewhat higher than the 0.5 percent decline
described for age-group records by Bortz (1996) between ages 35 and 60.
Between ages 55 and 75 their data show an average change of about 2 percent
per year. Joyner (1993) cites several studies finding 6 to 9 percent decrements
per decade (0.6 to 0.9 percent per year) until the mid-50s, with accelerated
rates of decline in later years. In another study (Evans et al. 1994),
the best 10K times by age in three road races were averaged over a five-year
period, and performance times were found to change quadradically with age.
Average changes between 30 and 55 were approximately 1.1 percent per year
for men and 1.3 percent per year for women, and between 55 and 75 the changes
were 2.1 percent per year for men and 3.3 percent per year for women.
Analysis of 50K to 200K running age-group world records shows similar,
but slightly higher, results compared to those just presented for the marathon.
Between ages 40 and 55 there is an average 1.5 percent decrement in performance
per year for men, and from age 55 to 75 the decrement is 3.3 percent per
year. For women, the decline is 2.3 percent per year from ages 40 to 55,
and data beyond age 55 is so variable that no consistent trends can be
identified.
These rates of change may be higher than those for shorter distances
because of the increased demands ultradistance running puts on the structural
and physiological systems in the body, which reduces the pool of runners
attempting to run those distances and perhaps exaggerates the affects of
aging.
From these various data we can conclude that those who remain fit and
free of major injuries or disease can still expect a decline in performance
that will average at least 0.5 percent per year between age 35 and 60.
Those who train less intensely as years go by, or who are afflicted with
periods of injury or disease, can probably expect faster decrements in
performance, as high as 1 to 2 percent per year. After an approximate age
of 60, the rate of decline is likely to increase. While the data cited
here show slightly faster rates of decline for women compared to men, this
may be an artifact influenced by the fewer number of women competing regularly
in long-distance events over the past few decades compared to men.
Physiological Basis for Performance
The physiological factors that are generally thought to affect changes
in performance with age are the same as those thought to be the major determinants
of distance running performance: maximal oxygen uptake (VO2max), the percent
of VO2max at race pace, the workload where lactate accumulation exceeds
a designated level (“lactate threshold”), and running economy (VO2submax).
A more detailed discussion of these factors can be found in articles
by Joyner (1993), Sjodin (1985), and Daniels (1985). VO2max is the maximum
amount of oxygen that can be consumed during intense exercise, and considerable
variability in VO2max can exist between runners. VO2max can be altered
with training, but a variety of genetic factors also have an effect on
the maximal level that any individual can attain.
Running economy is the rate of oxygen consumption at submaximal levels,
and it can vary by as much as 30 percent between individuals (Daniels 1985).
A lower VO2submax at a given speed would be an advantage in distance running.
Economy is probably primarily important as it relates to VO2max during
running at a given speed, though Sjodin (1985) cited studies that suggested
that marathoners were more economical than runners concentrating on shorter
distances.
Both running economy and VO2max affect the percentage of VO2max utilized
at a given speed. High correlations have been found between performance
time and the percent VO2max used when running at race pace. Depending on
the length of the race, runners may sustain somewhere between 65 and 98
percent of VO2max over the course of the race, with longer races run at
a lower percentage of VO2max and slower runners using a lower percentage
of maximum aerobic capacity (Joyner 1993; Sjodin 1985).
As one’s running speed increases, changes occur in the energy sources
utilized, and at some point a chemical substance called lactate begins
to accumulate in the blood. The point at which this occurs has frequently,
and sometimes controversially, been called the “lactate threshold.” The
specific mechanism of these changes continues to be debated; but of practical
importance is the fact that a well-trained runner can sustain a fraction
of his VO2max that is slightly above the lactate threshold pace, and there
seems to be a strong relationship between the threshold pace and performance (Sjodin 1985).
Changes in Physiological Factors with Age
As we age, our VO2max decreases, which seems to be closely linked with
the decline seen in performance. Studies examining changes in VO2max with
age have shown that it declines at the rate of 9 to 15 percent per decade
in sedentary individuals, while those who continue active training show
a change that is as little as half that much (Joyner 1993; Evan et al.
1995; Trappe et al. 1996).
Pollock (1987) examined 24 masters track athletes in a 10-year follow-up
study and found only a nonsignificant 3 percent change in VO2max for a
subgroup that had remained competitive over the 10-year period. Other runners
who continued training but did not compete showed a greater decline. Runners
who remained competitive in their 60s did show a greater decline at some
point, leading the authors to conclude that within the age range of 60
to 65 some reduction in VO2max is inevitable. This greater change after
age 60 is consistent with the increased rate of decline in performance
at ages above 60 that we discussed earlier.
Trappe et al. (1996) studied 53 former elite male runners 22 years after
initial tests and found a decrease averaging 6 percent per decade-or 0.6
percent per year-for a group who continued a high-level of training, a
10 percent decline for a group who ran for fitness, and a 15 percent decrease
for a group not engaged in any regular physical activity. Evans et al.
(1995) found an approximate 1-percent per year decrease in VO2max in highly
trained women ranging in age from 23 to 56.
With sedentary individuals, the decrease in VO2max is due at least in
part to a decrease in maximum heart rate and stroke volume. There is some
data to suggest that stroke volume may be maintained or even increased
in active runners (Pollock 1987). Other factors, such as a decline in peripheral
oxygen extraction and a reduction in lean body mass or muscle mass, may
also be involved (Joyner 1993; Fleg and Lakatta 1988). A decrease in heart
rate with age seems certain to be associated with the age-related decrease
in VO2max, but the exact nature of the effect of age on other factors affecting
oxygen delivery to the muscles in trained runners is not as clear (Evans
1995; Pollock 1987; Rivera et al. 1989).
Joyner (1993) cited evidence suggesting that the lactate threshold remains
at the same speed as one ages, and that by maintaining training, older
individuals may prevent or eliminate the usual age-related decline in skeletal
muscle oxidative capacity. In contrast, Evans et al. (1995) found the running
speed associated with lactate threshold to decrease with age and concluded
that the change in lactate threshold was an important factor in the decline
in performance between the ages of approximately 20 and 65. Allen et al.
(1985) matched eight masters runners (average age = 56) with younger runners
(average age = 25) on the basis of 10K performance times. The older runners,
despite a lower VO2max, were able to match the paces of the younger runners
because they ran at race pace with higher lactate levels and at a higher
percentage of VO2max. Though it is not clear whether the speed associated
with lactate threshold changes with age, it appears that lactate levels
are still important in determining performance levels in older individuals.
Joyner (1993) concluded that running economy does not change with age,
based on available literature, with Allen et al. (1985) reporting a similar
finding. Trappe et al. (1995) found similar results for active runners,
but higher submaximal oxygen consumption in the group of former elite runners
who were no longer physically active.
Evans et al. (1995) found significantly higher oxygen consumption in
a group of older women (mean age = 52) compared to a younger group (mean
age = 30), concluding that running economy did not play a major role in
age-related declines in 10K performance. Overall, there does not appear
to be evidence that changes in running economy are important in explaining
the decline in performance with age, though little information is available
for older subjects (60+) or those who run longer distances (50K+).
Physiological changes that might be specific to runners who engage
in ultradistance running have not been examined in detail. It is likely
that changes for this group will parallel those found for 10K and marathon
runners, though it is also probable that muscle, bone, and soft tissue
fatigue or failure will begin to have a greater influence on performance
in the longer distances. While a great deal of research has been done to
examine the influence of repetitive loads on body tissues, almost all of
the studies have simulated conditions less extreme than those involved
in ultradistance running. As a result, specific information is not available.
Summary
The reductions in performance for age-group records cited by Bortz (1996)
suggest a minimum rate of decline in performance of 0.5 percent per year
between ages 35 and 65.
This rate of decrease is similar in magnitude to the 5 percent per
decade decline in VO2max that appears to occur even for highly-trained
individuals.
While a decline in performance averaging as low or lower than 0.5 percent
per year is possible, for most runners the rate is probably higher, affected
by changes in training intensity, motivation, injury, and other related
factors.
Depending on the level of training continued over the years, the decline
may range anywhere from 0.5 percent to 2 percent or more per year, and
after age 60, the rate of decline will probably increase. It appears that
these performance declines are directly related to changes in some of the
physiological factors that are important to performance, most notably VO2max.
Continued training as one advances in years appears to have the beneficial
effect of reducing the usual decline with age of some of the physiological
functions that are important to performance. Additionally, continued training
should bring with it additional health benefits that will help active
runners maintain a better quality of life into their later years.
References
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Hagberg, J. 1985. Lactate threshold and distance-running performance in
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Daniels, J. T. 1985. A physiologist’s view of running
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